FACTS ON EBOLA
Our government, although telling the populous their actions are science based, has not told the science based facts about this disease. In today’s hyper-connected world, their lack of complete candor is irresponsible on several levels. If their intent is to limit panic, a connected population can discern their government is not being forthright through their own research, which realization heightens panic and distrust. If their aim is to contain the disease, their lack of candor limits their ability to do so as, in the short term, enough of the populous believes them and takes little precaution, thus creating disease spillover into the population.
Ebola takes little spillover before a
major outbreak occurs. Dr. Craig Spencer’s
infected jaunts through
As can be seen, the probability of no major outbreak
in a population of 100,000 with just 5 unchecked infections is less than
10%. As of 2013,
“Human epidemics subsequently take off by direct human-to-human contact via bodily fluids or indirect contact with contaminated surfaces. Hence, stopping Ebola transmission should be feasible when the cases are detected early and managed properly, because this virus is not transmitted through the air or water. Nevertheless, Ebola has been shown to spread through the air under carefully controlled laboratory conditions. Hence, amplification of human-to-human transmission can result in the presence of suboptimal infection control measures in healthcare settings.”
“Asymptomatic infection with Ebola virus is known to occur in a certain fraction of exposed individuals.”
The extreme difference in the lethality of this virus makes comparisons between Ebola and the flu laughable. This is a serious disease. Although panic is never good, precaution and planning are most definitely called for. Even a 21 day quarantine, as recommended by the Joint Chiefs of Staff and implemented by the Secretary of Defense for troops operating in infected regions leaves 5% of infectious cases undetected according to data at footnote 4.